Idaho at Louisiana Tech

For a team to get 19 in a game with a total of 125.5 is simply too much. That's over 15% of the total expected points. LA Tech is a defensive possession type team as this should not be a shootout and Idaho has played well of late against top 150 teams losing by just 10-14 ponits. Earlier this year, Idaho lost by just 5 points to LA Tech. Granted that game was in Idaho but to see this now at 19 is value. This line is based on Idaho's 0-12 SU road record vs. Louisiana Tech's 9-3 SU home record. But, LA Tech is just 3-6 ATS at home and since 1997, Idaho is 10-2 ATS on the road vs. good teams (60%+ SU). Too many points. We'll back the big dog here for three stars.