Houston at Connecticut

Houston has won four of its last five outings to hit the 20-win mark. The Cougars have been a force on offense all season behind guard Rob Gray, Jr., who leads the AAC in scoring at 17.2 points a game. With an RPI of 85 and 15 of its victories coming against teams ranked below the top 150, the Cougars still have work to do to earn an NCAA bid. Houston is tops in the AAC in scoring, #6 in points allowed, #2 in field goal shooting, and #3 in free throws. Houston is 11-3 ATS following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Houston has a winning road record and faces a UConn team that is 3-2 the last five games, even losing 63-58 at Temple as five-point chalk, part of a 2-4 spread run. UConn is in the middle of the pack in the ACC in turnover margin, three-point defense, and scoring offense. So grab the big dog in a close one. Play Houston.