Florida Atlantic vs. San Diego State

San Diego State comes into the Final Four with an elite defense that has allowed opponents an average of only 57 points in the NCAA Tournament and the Aztecs' perimeter defense has also been outstanding. Alabama went 3-for-27 and Creighton 2-for-27 from 3-point range against the Aztecs, who actually shoot 44.1 percent overall and 34.7 on 3s, which is far from terrible. Florida Atlantic will have to deal with San Diego State's physicality and the Owls depend a lot on the 3-ponter with 37 percent of their scoring coming from downtown. So if the Aztecs have the kind of success in that department as they had in the Elite Eight, it could spell trouble for FAU. San Diego State has covered all four tournament games and it is 15-4-2 ATS its past 21 games against teams with winning records and 13-3-2 ATS versus .600 teams. The Aztecs are on a current 15-5-2 ATS run. Play San Diego State.