Florida International at Bowling Green

Florida International has yet to win on the road, but was competitive enough to lose by just 16 to Carolina, and 14 to a tough Eastern Kentucky team, both resulting in covers. The Falcons have yet to record a win vs. a Div-1 opponent, nor get a cover, so posted as a double-digit favorite here is a bit perplexing. The Golden Panthers have had success on the road at 5-1 ATS in their last six, and are also 4-1 ATS vs. the MAC. I think this one is set too high for a team that has shown nothing, so I'll go with Florida International to hang tough in this one.