Fairfield at Siena

The Siena Saints have built some branding as a good team with the last two years being a Cinderella darling in the NCAA Tournament. The components of those teams have left and this is not as strong Siena team from before, although these numbers would indicate they still are. Fairfield is well under the radar as they have losses to conferences that would be deemed above them, but have recorded a 5-0 mark vs teams more suitable to the level of play they will find vs. Siena. This is a Siena team that really never lost at home and, already this season, they have been beaten on their own floor by Albany and Vermont. The Stags are playing good vs. Metro Atlantic opponents where they are 11-1 ATS in their last 12. I like Fairfield here.