Evansville is on a 4-3-1 spread run still playing hard despite few wins. In the last two games, they upset Northern Iowa, 71-59, as a +10 dog and covered in the last game in a 66-60 loss to a Missouri State squad that is 10-6 in the conference. College basketball road dogs like Evansville that shoot 63% or worse from the free-throw line are 231-141 ATS as a dog of 10 to 19.5 points. Belmont is a big favorite but on a 2-3 SU, 2-2-1 ATS run losing twice as chalk. This is a look-ahead spot as Belmont is 11-5 in the Missouri Valley Conference and has a showdown with first-place 12-4 Drake on deck. And Belmont is 7-17 ATS after a victory against a conference rival. Play Evansville.
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