East Carolina at Wichita State

After achieving their first winning season in more than a decade with a 19-14 record last year, East Carolina is having a frustrating season this year at 5-12, with six of its last nine defeats by nine points or fewer. This includes an 87-85 overtime loss to UAB as a 7.5-point underdog. Wichita State is in rebuild mode after losing its top nine scorers from last season. The Shockers are 11-8. They are 2-5 ATS the last seven times when laying points. The Pirates are desperate to earn their first American Athletic Conference victory this season. They have the most dynamic player on the court in the all-preseason first team guard Jordan Riley. He leads the AAC in scoring at 22.2 points a game, while also averaging 5.7 rebounds and 1.8 steals per game. Given East Carolina's desperation and having Riley, look for the Pirates to stay within this inflated number. Take East Carolina.