Duke vs. Tennessee

Duke had a terrific ACC tournament run but they still have a losing mark at the window (16-19 ATS). Duke is 5-13 ATS after back-to-back double-digit wins, plus 4-12 ATS after allowing 65 or fewer points in two straight. This is a good matchup for Tennessee with a frontcourt to throw at the Blue Devils in 6-9 senior Olivier Nkamhoua (10.5 ppg, 5 rpg) and 6-8 freshman Julian Phillips (8.7 ppg, 4.9 rpg) along with a three-guard guard attack that all score in double figures. The Volunteers are an elite defensive team, third in the nation allowing 57.9 points per contest, and are 21st in the country averaging 35.6 rebounds and 10th in rebounding margin. Duke has been held under 40% shooting from the field nine times this year and ranks 238th in college basketball in hitting 6.8 three-pointers per game. Tennessee is 144-107 ATS as a dog and coach Rick Barnes is 56-42 ATS in non-conference games, plus 49-33 ATS after a game allowing 60 points or fewer. Play the Tennessee Volunteers.