Duke at Michigan State

Coach K. has a well-oiled system of generating the very best recruits in the nation year after year. He once again has a top-rated class and a lot of what happens on the court is up to freshmen. Sometimes it takes a while for things to come together. The Duke home loss as nearly a -30 point favorite portends some problems. Michigan State was ranked No. 1 at the beginning of the year and has equal talent and a lot more experience. They also beat a better Duke team in the Elite 8 last year with a lot of these same players. Duke is not ready for prime time on the road in this one. Play on Michigan State.