Drake at Illinois State

Drake has a three-guard attack led by 6-7 junior Tucker DeVries (20.4 ppg) that is averaging 78.9 points and shooting 48% from the field as a team. They're second in the Missouri Valley Conference in points scored and No. 1 in assist-to-turnover ratio. Drake is 10-2 OVER the total versus teams that shoot 42% or less. Illinois State is ninth in the 12-team conference in field goal shooting allowed (.442) and last at defending beyond the arc (.355). The defense is getting worse, on a five-game losing streak along with a 5-2 run OVER the total. Illinois State is 18-9 OVER as an underdog and 21-10 OVER against teams that attempt 21 or more treys per contest. Drake won, 88-71, when these teams met two weeks ago and this total is too low. Take Drake/Illinois State OVER the total.