DePaul at Villanova

DePaul is a big dog, but they are not going to try and run with Villanova. DePaul plays tough defense, allowing .435% shooting in conference play, as well as .357% shooting beyond the arc. They have a +1.1 rebounding margin behind senior Mike Henry (13.9 points per game, 6.2 rebounds per game) and 6-11 junior Tommy Hamilton IV (9 ppg, 5.4 rpg) and a pair of victories over ranked teams. Villanova is home from a tough two-game trip, including a loss at Xavier as a favorite, and they have been overvalued at home. Villanova failed to cover in its last home game as -11 against Butler and the home game before that they were -26.5 against St. John's and won just 73-63. The Wildcats are 3-7-1 ATS following a spread win. Look for DePaul to copy the St. John's game plan and focus on defense and a slow pace. Grab the huge points DePaul.