Delaware State at Longwood

Longwood has been all over the place this season. They are 4-4 on the season that including a 33 point loss as well as a 46 point win. They have also lost at home as an 8 point favorite. It is a lot to ask of a team that has only been a fairly significant favorite of 8 points and lost outright to suddenly become a nearly 20 point favorite. Delaware St. is 2-6 but has just 4 lined games under their belt but has been a double-digit underdog in 3 of them. That includes 2 covers at +16 and +17, their highest dog lines of the season to date. This one extends beyond that and I think this is an over-reach by odds-makers, and I will make the play on Delaware St.