Dayton vs. Virginia Commonwealth

Virginia Commonwealth has won and covered both meetings this season, including a 66-43 shellacking on Jan. 23 before beating the Flyers on the road 76-67 on Feb. 9. The Rams are 6-2 ATS the last eight meetings, and they have won seven of their last nine games overall, although VCU does come off a loss at Davidson when it shot only 36.5%, which is below its average of 44.9%. Dayton defeated Rhode Island 84-72 on Thursday and now moves on to the Atlantic 10 Conference quarterfinals while VCU has been off since Saturday. The Rams have covered four of their last five following a loss, and I look for them to continue their success against the Flyers. Play VCU.