Dayton at Saint Louis

Dayton had one of their best seasons ever last year that led them all the way to the Elite Eight before falling to Florida. They have come right back with another very solid team that is 17-5 on the season and very much in line for another tourney run. St. Louis has had a great three year run, that saw them go 81-22, and finished 2nd in the A-10 three years ago, and won it in each of the last 2 years. Most of those pieces have moved on, and the Billikens have fallen sharply at 10-13, and just a woeful 2-8 in league play. The home resume has suffered as they have posted a 3-13-1 ATS mark here in their last 17 games, and are just 7-21-1 ATS overall in their last 29. The Flyers are 11-4 in their last 15 in the conference, and have the edge everywhere in this one. Play on Dayton.