Dayton at Massachusetts

UMass has been an offensive team in recent years, and the fact they don't have the same firepower this year, is exposing them defensively. The top 5 teams on their schedule have seen the opponent score the following points. Memphis (80), S. Illinois (80), Boston College (85), Kansas (60), Houston (80), and throw in Vanderbilt at 78. That is about 80 points a game vs the good teams on their schedule. I'd have to think Dayton at 14-1 qualifies as a good team. The Flyers add to the liklihood of an over, as they have played 19-7 to the over after a SU win, and I'll follow the trends and play over in this one.