Colorado at Kansas State

The Buffalos are having problems winning games in the Big-12, but no trouble staying in them. Their last three conference road games show a 17-point total deficit, or less than 6 per game. Kansas State recorded numerous blowout wins at home vs. a cupcake pre-conference schedule, but has actually dropped two straight at home, and going back three games, just a 9-point home win. The Buffs may be winless on the road, but are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 conference games, getting the money with high frequency. The Wildcats have become “Mildcats” vs. lousy teams. Kansas State is just 4-14 ATS vs. a team with a losing straight-up record. I'll go with Colorado in this one.