California Davis vs. Long Beach State

The UC Davis Aggies have won all of five games this season, and they will be taking on a likely NCAA Tournament team in Long Beach State. The 49ers beat UC Davis by 20+ in both meetings this season, and with bigger fish to fry ahead I just don't see them expending a whole lot of energy here, nor the starters sticking around deep into the second half, so this is a great opportunity for a back door cover here for the Aggies. Teams off a close loss of 3 points or less when playing a team off of scoring 50 or less with a line of -10 to -19.5 are just 32-65 ATS. The Aggies are a strong 10-2 ATS following a loss of 20 or more points, and at the same time are 5-2 to the UNDER in their last seven games played at a neutral court. The Aggies won't score much here, and Long beach simply doesn't have a reason, or motivation to extend top players’ minutes to roll it up. They have also been 4-0 to the UNDER in their last four as a neutral-site favorite as well as being 4-0 to the UNDER in their last four Big West tilts. Play this one on UC Davis and the UNDER.