Central Michigan at Toledo

Central Michigan is a big dog but has covered two straight. They beat Western Michigan, 70-69, as an underdog and come off of a cover at Kent State as a +18.5 dog. Central Michigan has very good backcourt play with a 3-guard attack led by junior Jesse Zarzuela (16.3 ppg), 6-6 senior Brian Taylor (14 ppg), and 6-4 freshman Reggie Bass (9.6 ppg). Central Michigan is 13-5 ATS after playing five straight games as an underdog. Toledo comes off of an 81-78 win over Miami of Ohio as a double-digit favorite. Toledo allows the second-most points in the MAC (78.4 per game), is ninth in field goal shooting given up (.459%), and dead-last at defending the 3-pointer (.376% shooting allowed). And college basketball home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points like Toledo off of a conference road victory are 178-259 ATS when facing a team off a cover where they lost straight up as a dog. Play Central Michigan.