Buffalo at Quinnipiac

The CIT tournament kicks off tonight with this game. Buffalo comes into this one at 5-10 SU and 5-9 ATS on the road. Their offense hasn't topped 64 points in their last five tries. Quinnipiac is 12-5 at home on the season, scoring over 70 points per game. In late season play the past two seasons, the Bulls are 0-6 ATS vs. teams like the Bobcats that outscore their competition by 4+ points per game. Buffalo is coming off an 11-point loss to Kent State and the Bulls are just 1-8 ATS the past three seasons coming off a double-digit conference loss. They are also 1-11 ATS in their last 12 road games following back-to-back, low-scoring efforts (65 or less). This season, Buffalo is just 2-7 straight-up vs. good defensive teams like Quinnipiac (42% or less FG% against). I like the home team here.