Brown at Providence

Brown averages 71.1 points behind guard Kino Lilly Jr. (19.4 ppg), but they haven't racked up many wins because of a weak defense. The defense is sixth in the eight-game Ivy League in points allowed, fifth in field goal shooting allowed, and last at defending beyond the arc (.351%). Providence hung 78 on Columbia last month and just scored 78, 86, and 84 on Lehigh, Wagner, and Rhode Island. Providence is on a 164-122 run OVER the total at home, 57-34 OVER as a double-digit favorite, and 48-28 OVER at home off a road loss. And college basketball home teams with a winning record off a loss by 20+ points are 30-10 OVER the total when facing a losing team where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points. Take Brown/Providence OVER the total.