Arkansas State at UL Monroe

This game should mean a decided home court advantage for the UL Monroe Warhawks who enter at 15-14 on the season. Their opening round opponent will be the 11-20 Arkansas State Red Wolves. One of those 11 wins came just four days ago against this same UL Monroe team, as the Red Wolves won 83-79 on the road as a 7.5 point underdog. I don't see history repeating itself as the Red Wolves shot 52.7% to squeeze out a close win, and that is the best they have shot in conference play all season. UL Monroe is the better team, and unless the Wolves can duplicate an outlier shooting performance, they are going to come up short. Take UL Monroe on the moneyline.