Alabama vs. Kentucky

Kentucky of course has their eyes set again on a deep run in the NCAA Tourney. They have had two byes in the SEC tourney and draw Alabama here. This year's SEC is very deep with eight or nine teams of very high quality. Bama was just 8-10 in the SEC this season, but they beat Ole Miss on Thursday and I think they can keep this one close enough to cover this very large spread. Four of Kentucky's five losses this season cam away from home, where they won on average by just 3 points per game (vs. 17 per game at home). Under Avery Johnson, the Tide are 40-28 ATS vs. good shooting teams like Kentucky (teams that average 45%+ from the field). Meanwhile, as double-digit chalk, Calipari's Wildcats are 80-102 ATS. Take the points on Bama here.