Air Force at New Mexico

The Lobos are tourney bound as they have had a great season up to this point, and that comes with a price - a rather steep one in this contest. The Falcons can get blown out, but they offer their own safety net and that is a shot clock melting, Princeton-type offense that shortens games, making large numbers very vulnerable. The proof is in their 8-2 ATS mark in their last 10 when posted as a 16.5 dog or higher. The Lobo's at 24-3, certainly are a strong enough team to win big, but their opportunities will be limited in a slowdown game. I'll go with Air Force here.