Oregon Ducks vs Virginia Cavaliers Point Spread Picks

Oregon is on an incredible run winning and covering its last 10 games following two blowout victories over Wisconsin and UC Irvine in the first two games of the tournament. Ehab Amin sparked a 15-3 run in the second half and Payton Pritchard scored a team-leading 18 points and Louis King added 16 for the Ducks, who improved to 22-15 ATS this season. Virginia has shown no mercy in the first two games probably because it remembers last year's loss to 16th-seeded UMBC. However, this will be a much tougher test than Gardner-Webb and overrated Oklahoma. Oregon is one of the few teams in the country that can almost match the Cavaliers defensively as the Ducks allow opponents just a .399 shooting percentage compared to .381 for Virginia. Also, the Ducks defend the three-point shot well allowing 29.1 percent from behind the arc. The Ducks have covered seven in a row on neutral courts and six of their last eight non-conference games. Virginia is just 1-5 ATS its last six NCAA Tournament games. Take the points with Oregon.

A pair of good teams meet who know how to play defense. Virginia (8-1) heads to Oregon with a six-game winning streak, while Oregon is 6-2. Virginia has held each of its first nine opponents to under 60 points, is ranked No. 2 in the nation in scoring defense (47.9 points per game). Virginia has held five of its opponents to under 50 points and has now done that 12 times in the Tony Bennett era. The UNDER is 8-1 in the Cavaliers’ last nine non-conference games and is on a 5-1 run UNDER the total run overall, and 55-26-2 to the UNDER in the Cavaliers’ last 83 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600. Oregon can also play tough defense, particularly at home. The UNDER is 5-2 in the Ducks' last seven home games and is 7-3 to the UNDER in their last 10 non-conference games, as well as on a 7-3 run UNDER overall. Virginia and Oregon met last season with the Cavaliers winning 63-48 in a game that sailed UNDER the total of 134 by 23 points. Look for another great defensive duel and play on the UNDER.