North Carolina's ACC pedigree and its late-season run got it into the NCAA Tournament and now the Tarheels are ready to make the most of it. They won eight of nine before losing to Duke in the ACC Championship game 74-71 after falling behind 45-24 at halftime. Coach Hubert Davis used only eight players against the Blue Devils with Ven-Allen Lubin scoirng a team-leading 20 points. The Tarheels have covered seven straight as a favorite and they have gone UNDER four in a row, including allowing fewer than 60 points against Notre Dame and Wake Forest. San Diego State has split its past six games and lost 62-52 to Boise State in the Mountain West championship game and it went UNDER by 20.5 points. North Carolina has won seven of its past eight games versus Mountain West opponents. The Tarheels are #39 in the country in 3-point defense with 30.7 percent. I'm goign with three plays on this game: Take North Carolina on the moneyline, bet this game UNDER in the first-half, and bet the full game UNDER the total.
Previous Matchups & Picks
March 18, 2025 9:21pm ET
vs.
North Carolina Tar Heels
#671
San Diego State Aztecs
#672
Lines & Odds
-4.5 (-110)
ATS
+4.5 (-110)
-211
Moneyline
+171
OVER 141 (-110)
Total
UNDER 141 (-110)
Tar Heels vs. Aztecs Spread Picks
Get Tar Heels vs. Aztecs point spread picks, expert spread analysis, computer model picks, betting consensus data, matchup breakdowns, key betting angles, and the latest odds insights for today's Tar Heels vs. Aztecs game.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 57% of the public bets were on North Carolina Tar Heels on the -4.5 ATS. And, 58% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that North Carolina would win by a score of 73.7 to 69.6 with North Carolina winning on the moneyline, San Diego State winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Pro Picks
These Pro Picks were released to clients on March 18, 2025 at 1:48PM ET.
North Carolina vs. San Diego State
March 18, 2025
Final Score
1H
2H
F
North Carolina Tar Heels
47
48
95
San Diego State Aztecs
23
45
68
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