North Carolina Tar Heels vs Oregon Ducks Point Spread Picks

The North Carolina Tar Heels have been to the Final Four many times, and are out to get the bad taste out of their mouths from a buzzer-beating loss to Villanova in last year's final. The Oregon Ducks have not been here since the eight team field all the way back in 1939. The Ducks stepped up the defense to get here vs. Kansas their last time out. They held the high-octane offense of the Jayhawks to 60 points on just 35% shooting. This has been the recipe all season for the Ducks. They faced 11 teams that averaged more than 80 points per game at the time they met them, and held them to an average of 67.6 ppg. Eight of those 11 games also failed to get to the total. The Tar Heels average a healthy 85 ppg on the season, but in spite of that, they are 57.1% to the UNDER and 62.5% to the UNDER in the second half of the season (last 17 games). The reason being is that the better competition has taken something away from this offense as they averaged 89.4 ppg, which turned into 79.5 ppg in the last 17. I think this total is jacked up because of the UNC offense, and the average marks of the Duck's defense. But as pointed out, the Ducks have defended big offenses well, and NC has not been as good offensively vs. the better teams for a 10 ppg erosion over their last 17. Play this one to finish UNDER.