Middle Tenn State Blue Raiders vs UL Monroe Warhawks Point Spread Picks

Not much can be said here in terms of the UL Monroe Warhawks, giving the Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders a game. These teams are light years apart in terms of talent and represent the best and wort of the Sun Belt Conference. The line here is right in the mid-20s, but the situation is wrong. UL Monroe will play their hearts out, while Middle Tennessee will waltz through the game knowing they have a win. History shows us exactly that with conference home favorites of 20 or more cover less than 40% of all games played in the last seven years. Monroe head coach Keith Richard has a long history of keeping road games under the number. He is 72-46 ATS in games in which his team is a road underdog including 39-21 ATS if getting double-digits. In addition, his teams are 28-14 ATS when revenging a home loss. Since taking over at UL-Monroe, he is 12-4 ATS on the road when coming off a road loss and 13-5 ATS away from home vs. winning teams. Hold your nose, and grab the bundle on UL Monroe.

The Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders may be in line for an NCAA Tournament bid, even if they don't win the Sun Belt Conference Tournament. This team is still under the radar despite a 24-4 record that includes wins over Belmont, UCLA, and Loyola Marymount. UL Monroe is having a disastrous season at 2-25, and has not won a home game all season. While this looks like a big price on a home dog, it simply isn't close to being enough. The Blue Raiders are gathering momentum off an ATS win where they are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 and taking the challenges head-on when playing on the road where they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12. At 3-11 ATS in their last 14 as a home dog, the Warhawks are showing little bite. Play on Middle Tennessee.