Morehead State exorcised a demon in their shocking NCAA Tournament opener vs. Louisville. Two years ago, the Cardinals crushed Morehead State by 20 in the tournament. Richmond's win has been the biggest upset so far in the tournament. Teams in such a role often have trouble in their next game, but Richmond is playing their best basketball of the season right now, winning 28 games on the season. Richmond has been an under-the-radar team all season long, and both these of teams play similar games. They both like to execute the offense in the half court, and these teams both average less than 55 shots per game on the season. That sets up a huge system that plays on such teams in certain situations to produce an overwhelming mark of 70-22 to the UNDER this season. It is live and in play for this one, so I'll back the UNDER here. The Spiders are winning the games they are supposed to win as they are 7-0 ATS in their last seven as favorites. They are also an impressive 35-17-1 ATS when facing a team with a winning percentage greater than .600. My play is Richmond and the UNDER in this one.
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Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 57% of the public bets were on Richmond Spiders on the -21 ATS. And, 63% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Richmond would win by a score of 80.7 to 63.3 with Richmond winning on the moneyline, Morehead State winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
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Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 64% of the public bets were on Richmond Spiders on the -4.5 ATS. 73% of the public money was on Richmond Spiders to win on the moneyline. And, 58% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Richmond would win by a score of 52.7 to 50.1 with Richmond winning on the moneyline, Morehead State winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
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Morehead State at Richmond
5:15 PM Eastern
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