Montana Grizzlies vs Wisconsin Badgers Point Spread Picks

The Wisconsin Badgers enter the tournament with one of their best offenses all-time. The Badgers are averaging 80 PPG. They will take on a 25-9 Montana team that is amongst the best shooting teams in the nation at 50%. One and done tournament basketball, especially the NCAA Tournament 1st round, usually brings out a higher defensive intensity, along with new shooting backgrounds, and a lot of nervous energy. This game fits a potent NCAA Tournament situation. Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points - off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog. These teams are 62-22 to the UNDER since 2020. The Grizzlies have not been tested at this level, but when you have an efficient offense, it allows for a big dog to hang inside large pointspreads. The Grizzlies are 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 games and are an under the radar low major. The Badgers have not fared well as a huge favorite. They are 0-4 ATS since game 2 to a line of -17 or more points. Montana and the UNDER in this one.

The Montana Grizzlies come into tournament play as one of the hottest teams in the country, winners of 14 straight to finish 25-6. The problem is that this team is completely untested, and will have their hands full solving the intense defense of the Badgers who rank No. 8 in the country at 38.3% allowed by their opponents, and No. 5 in the country at defending the arc at 28.9%. Montana has faced just one power-conference team all season, not even a good one, and managed just 46 points vs. Oregon State, and could be in for similar numbers here. The Badgers’ defense may be great, but the offense is horrible as they scored in the 50s or less in 12 of their last 27 games, and are now 14-6-1 to the UNDER in their last 21 at a neutral site. This one stays UNDER the total.