Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Tennessee Volunteers Point Spread Picks

The Tennessee Vols will head to Mississippi and take on the Mississippi St. Bulldogs. It has been a tough season for the Bulldogs, as they enter this game at 11-12 and are trying to finish with a winning record and secure a spot in the postseason. Tennessee is 16-7 on the season. The Vols' defense has done better in recent games, allowing fewer than 70 PPG over their last 3. Mississippi St. relies on slowing games down to stay competitive, and in their last six games, they have played five UNDER the total. Make the play on the UNDER.

Mississippi State was projected 10th in the SEC preseason poll. They got off to a great start with a soft schedule but are now on a 1-2 SU, 0-3 ATS run. They were a 5-point favorite at home over No. 6 Kentucky but lost, 95-90, and then went to No. 1 Auburn and got crushed, 88-66. They also lost to Butler earlier in the season, 87-77, as an 8.5-point favorite. The defense is 13th in the 16-team SEC on points surrendered and shooting allowed, plus 15th at defending beyond the arc (.350). Tennessee is 10-0 at home and is No. 1 defensively in the conference in points (58.8 per game), shooting (.364), and 3-point shooting allowed. The Vols have wins over No. 13 Baylor (77-62), No. 23 Arkansas (76-52), and No. 23 Georgia (74-56). Play Tennessee. 

Quartefinals SEC action from Nashville, Tennessee. Mississippi State has a losing conference record (8-10) and struggled all season away from home (2-8). They're 10th in the 14-team conference in 3-point shooting (32.8%) and last from the free-throw line (67.1%). Mississippi State is on a 1-4 SU/ATS run and had to play yesterday, knocking off LSU, 70-760. They're 13-23 ATS against teams that attempt 21+ treys per game, plus 2-11 ATS in March games. Tennessee is fifth in the conference in scoring (80.2 points per game) and working on five days of rest. The Vols are 91-63 ATS when revenging a road loss to an opponent, as well as 7-0 ATS after allowing 80+ points. Play Tennessee. 

Tennessee has won two of its three road games this season and is in bounce-back mode after a loss to Kentucky, 63-56. The Vols lead the SEC in scoring defense (57.0 ppg), field-goal percentage (.504), and assist-to-turnover ratio (1.49). Tennessee is also tops in the nation in field-goal shooting defense (.335) and 3-point defense holding nine opponents to 50 points or less. Mississippi State has lost four of its five SEC games. The team shoots just 40.9% from the field, 28.8% from long range, and a woeful 61.1% from the charity stripe. Tennessee has won eight of the last nine meetings including a sweep last season by scores of 72-63 and 72-59. The wagering value is on the visitors to win the game. Play Tennessee on the moneyline.