Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Pittsburgh Panthers Point Spread Picks

Pittsburgh has had a grueling last three games. They beat LSU, 74-63, lost to Wisconsin, 81-75, as a favorite, and come off an overtime thriller against Ohio State, winning 91-90. This is their fourth straight game away from home. Mississippi State has won all three of its home games. Sophomore guard Josh Hubbard (19.1 ppg) leads an offense that averages 85 points. They've had four days to rest after their first loss. Mississippi State is on a 7-4 ATS run, so back home court. Play Mississippi State. 

Mississippi State got blown out by Alabama, but it was one night after the Bulldogs had to go overtime to beat Florida and they still have won eight of their past 11 games and head into the NCAA Tournament in better form than Pittsburgh, which has lost three of its past four games, including getting destroyed 96-69 by Duke. Mississippi State also has the edge on defense allowing just 61.0 points per game this season and a .394 field goal percentage overall and only .308 from the 3-point line. The Panthers allow 42.6 percent shooting and 33.5 percent from beyond the arc. The Bulldogs have balanced scoring with only first-team All-SEC Tolu Smith averaging in double figures and they allow an average of only 27.5 points in the first half and 61.0 for the game. The UNDER is 5-1 in Mississippi State's past six neutral-court games and it stayed UNDER by 19 points versus Alabama. The Bulldogs are 19-14 UNDER on the season. Three plays on this game: Take Mississippi State ATS, and play the first half and full game to stay UNDER.