Mississippi Rebels vs Texas A&M Aggies Point Spread Picks

This is a good time to be playing against Texas A&M. The Aggies have hit a road bump in Bucky McMillan's first season at the helm. The Aggies have lost four in a row and failed to cover in their last three games. Texas A&M has far more firepower than Mississippi, averaging the fourth-most points in the country at 93.5. However, the Aggies are 321st in defense, surrendering an average of 81.8 points per game. That number climbs up to 88.5 during the last four games. The well-coached Rebels under Chris Beard do enough things right to stay within this high number. Mississippi is 131st defensively, allowing eight fewer points per game than Texas A&M. Ole Miss takes care of the ball well, committing the second fewest turnovers per game in the SEC. The Rebels also have the third-highest scoring bench in the conference and rank 56th nationally in blocked shots. Take Mississippi. 

It's the second round of the SEC Tournament from Nashville, Tennessee. Mississippi is very good at home (14-4) but 4-7 on the road. They've dropped eight of 10 overall and the offense has scored just 66 and 60 points in the last two contests. Texas A&M is on a 3-0 SU/ATS run, including an 86-60 win at Ole Miss in the last game as an underdog. The defense is fourth in the 14-team SEC in points given up (69.5 per game) and in field goal shooting allowed (42.1%). Texas A&M is 183-139 UNDER the total as a favorite, plus 91-63 UNDER after having won three of its last four. A&M has won three of the last four versus Ole Miss, as well. Play Texas A&M on the moneyline + UNDER the total. 

It seems like every game in the SEC is meaningful, and Ole Miss brings their 16-3 record to College Station to take on 12-7 Texas A&M. Ole Miss likes to run, and they are a very good spot up 3-point shooting team, and their games have averaged 147 total points per game. Texas A&M is averging better than 76ppg at home, so I think we are going to see a fast paced game. Ole Miss has scored against good defensive teams as the Rebels are 8-2 to the over vs. a team allowing 42% shooting or less on the season. (average 156ppg total points scored, and the Rebels are also 7-0 to the over on the season following a win this season (154 total ppg scored). Make the play OVER the total.