Tarleton State went 1-14 on the road last season, so it's no shock the Texans lost, 96-76, to SMU in their opener two days ago. What was surprising was that the total went OVER by 28 points. The oddsmaker may not have yet caught on that Tarleton State is much better offensively than it was a year ago, thanks to Dior Johnson and Freddie Hicks. The two combined for 38 points against SMU. What hasn't changed is that the Texans are still a mess on defense. LSU can capitalize on that with its size, athleticism, and home-court advantage. The Tigers are out to improve on their 14-18 record from last season. Having a healthy forward, Jalen Reed, helps, along with two key additions: point guard Dedan Thomas Jr. and forward Marquel Sutton, the Summit League Player of the Year last season with Omaha, who averaged 18.9 points. Thomas, a transfer from UNLV, had 16 points on 6-of-11 shooting and nine assists in LSU’s only exhibition game, a 75-68 victory against UCF on Oct. 26 in Orlando. Take the OVER.
Previous Matchups & Picks
November 5, 2025 8:00pm ET
@
Tarleton State Texans
#643
LSU Tigers
#644
Lines & Odds
+15 (-110)
ATS
-15 (-110)
+907
Moneyline
-1667
OVER 149.5 (-108)
Total
UNDER 149.5 (-115)
Texans vs. Tigers Spread Picks
Get Texans vs. Tigers point spread picks, expert spread analysis, computer model picks, betting consensus data, matchup breakdowns, key betting angles, and the latest odds insights for today's Texans vs. Tigers game.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 58% of the public bets were on LSU Tigers on the -15 ATS. And, 60% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that LSU would win by a score of 78.5 to 65.9 with LSU winning on the moneyline, Tarleton State winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Pro Picks
This Pro Pick was released to clients on November 05, 2025 at 11:52AM ET.
Tarleton State at LSU
November 5, 2025
Final Score
1H
2H
F
Tarleton State Texans
47
29
60
LSU Tigers
47
49
96
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