Long Beach State 49ers vs San Diego State Aztecs

Long Beach State has gone OVER five of its six games this season, including its 85-76 win over Wright State on Wednesday, even though the Raiders shot only 38%. The 49ers shot 52% with Joe Hampton scoring 22 points and Joel Murray adding 21. Long Beach State is allowing 86.8 points per game and a .482 field goal percentage as defense apparently is not its strong point. San Diego State will have to shoot better than its 32% showing in an ugly, 58-43 loss to USC, and that performance deflated the posted total for this game. The OVER is 21-8 in Long Beach State's last 29 road games (6-2 OVER their last eight games after a win). Take the OVER.

The San Diego State Aztecs have been battle tested, with games against Utah, Cal and West Virginia. SDSU is looking to continue a trend of not letting one loss turn into two. The Aztecs have followed their last 21 losses with a win in the next game, a streak that is tops in CBB. Kansas is second at 19. San Diego State has played 89 consecutive games without suffering a two-game losing streak, which is second nationally only to Arizona (90). San Diego State has a 15-game winning streak vs. the the Big West Conference on the line, plus they are 51-1 vs. schools from the state of California. They face a Long Beach State team that has lost three in a row allowing 87, 82 and 79 points. The SDSU Aztecs have won five straight against the 49ers (2-0 in Long Beach), all of which have come under the direction of Steve Fisher, plus 13 of the last 14 (13-1) and 17 of the last 22 (17-5). Take SDSU to win this one straight-up.

San Diego State is home and faces a Long Beach State team that is 0-4 on the road. Long Beach State struggles against good teams and are playing the second of a brutal six-game trip, off a loss to Stephen Austin 74-45. The 49ers are 9-19 ATS against a team with a winning percentage above .600. San Diego State just finished a tough stretch, which included facing the PAC-12 twice. They play great defense and held Washington to 49 points in a loss the last game. The Aztecs are on a 6-2-1 ATS run and 4-1-1 ATS in their last six home games. San Diego State has also won the last four games, and 12 of the last 13 encounters between the teams. The chalk is also 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings. Lay the points on San Diego State.

A pair of California mid-majors will do battle in this one. San Diego State came within an eyelash of NCAA Champion Connecticut in the tourney a year ago, while Long Beach State did the unthinkable by going into the Peterson Events center where Pitt rarely loses and handled the Panthers with relative ease. That may work against them in this one, as it is a natural letdown, and the coast-to-coast to coast travel won't help matters here against a potent opponent. San Diego State has developed a winning mentality at home, and has beaten some good teams here along the path to a 16-1 mark in their last 27 home games, including 4-0 this season. The Aztecs have really flexed their muscles when facing a winning team where they are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26. This is a tough venue and opponent for Long beach after a huge win. Play on San Diego St. to get the money.