Indiana Hoosiers vs North Carolina Tar Heels Point Spread Picks

North Carolina has gone UNDER in seven of its last nine road games and nine of its last 13 against Big 10 teams. The Tar Heels have also stayed UNDER in four of their last five lined games this season. The Tar Heels are holding opponents to 66.3 points per game and a .371 field goal percentage while Indiana is allowing only 69.6 points per contest and 38.1 percent from the field. North Carolina beat Wisconsin 71-56 last Wednesday in a game that went UNDER by 18.5 points while Indiana beat Mississippi Valley State after being upset by IPFW 71-68, and that game went UNDER by 26 points even though it went overtime. The Tar Heels have also gone UNDER six of their last seven as road favorites dating to last season. Play this game to stay UNDER the posted total.

North Carolina has won seven straight games to get to 30 wins on the season, as they try and advance to the Elite 8. The Indiana Hoosiers are 27-7, and have won seven of their last eight, covering five of their last six. The Tar Heels have a lot of size inside where they are likely to do some damage. But, the Hoosiers are a team that can score with Carolina, and have proven when the three-point shots are connecting they are extremely tough to beat. Indiana averages 82.5 points per game, and connect on 50.5% of their FG attempts as well as 41.6% from deep. If there is a weakness on this Carolina team it is their 31.4% shooting from beyond the arc, and they don't defend the three very well either, allowing 35.6% on the season. The Hoosiers are likely to get beaten off the glass in this game, but consider the fact that they won and covered their last four when their opponent out-rebounded them. The long ball is the key here, and that belongs to the Hoosiers. Grab the points on Indiana.

These games often feature a lot of hype, and NBA offensive-ready players, but the intensity often translates more on the defensive side of the court. As a result, the expected track meet will probably be riding the brakes here. The Tar Heels come in at 5-1, but their high-octane offense was slowed to 71 points vs. upstart Butler in their only defeat. The Hoosiers have a strong presence inside and are ranked No. 16 in FG percentage defense at 35.5% through their first six games. The Hoosiers’ offense is well diversified, but their top two games in the early going shows them stalling at 66 points vs. Georgetown before overtime, and 64 vs. Georgia. The Heels are now 23-11 to the UNDER when facing a team with a winning home record. This one doesn't make it to the lofty total. This one finishes UNDER.