Fresno State Bulldogs vs Siena Saints Point Spread Picks

Siena isn't even able to play this game on their normal home court because of an expo that's in town. Both of Siena's home games in this finals will be played at Alumni Recreation Center, which has a capacity of just 3,500. This Siena team didn't fare well in non-conference competition, starting the season 2-7. They took Game 1 at Fresno and had a chance to close it out at home in the last game but got steamrolled 89-75. What happened? What happened is the better team all around is Fresno. Even in losing Game 1 61-57, Fresno shot 48%, then shot 64% the last game. They've actually dominated most of the two games, but had one awful stretch in Game 1. Fresno State is on a 13-5 ATS run and the Bulldogs are 35-16-2 ATS in their last 53 road games. Siena shoots just 42% as a team and the pressure is on this game, unlike the last one. Fresno is 13-of-31 shooting from long range in the series and dominated the glass the last game 28-18, and they will again. Take Fresno State.

The Siena Saints were on their way to another empty season, but really came together late, and have turned a poor 11-16 season into a winning one as they head to Fresno State. This team is now getting dividends from a rigorous early season schedule that aided in their developement as a team. Fresno State has also made great strides getting to 20 wins on the season on the strength of their 12-3 finish to the season. The Saints aren't just winning, they are getting the money at 7-1 ATS in their last eight, and 6-0 ATS in their last six outside of the conference. Fresno State has done most of their damage against the line as a dog or small favorite, but are 0-2 ATS in the post-season giving six or more. Closer than it looks here, make the play on Siena.