Florida Gators vs Kentucky Wildcats Point Spread Picks

Kentucky has won two games in the SEC Tournament for the first time since the 2017-18 season after beating Missouri, 78-72, and LSU, 87-82, the past two days. The Wildcats have momentum. But now they are up against SEC champion Florida. Kentucky will be playing for the third straight day. Florida has had six straight days off. So any Kentucky fatigue will be offset by potential rust in Florida. The Wildcats' motivation and momentum should allow them to push through any weariness. Kentucky has the offense to stay competitive. The Wildcats average 84 points a game, 47th-best in the country. Otega Oweh is averaging 22 points in the SEC Tournament. He is the first Wildcat to score at least 21 points in the first two games of an SEC Tournament since Jamal Murray in 2016. The two teams just met on March 7. Florida won, 84-77. The Gators also defeated the Wildcats, 92-83, at home on Feb. 14, but failed to cover as 12.5-point favorites. So the average Kentucky loss to Florida this season is eight points. Take Kentucky.

Combine the Gators (-960), the Aggies (-1020), the Huskies (-1710), and the Crimson Tide (-1910) into a 4-team parlay at -285 odds.

This is only the second true road game for unbeaten Florida. Kentucky has an edge at center with 7-foot senior Amari Williams (10.1 ppg, 8.5 rpg) and is 9-0 at home. Kentucky has two meetings against the top 10 teams this season, and both teams have won on neutral courts. They beat No. 6 Duke (77-72) and No. 7 Gonzaga (90-89 in overtime). These rivals split two meetings last year, with home court being the difference. The Wildcats have won 10 of the past 12 meetings against the Gators, with the wagering value on the home team to win the game in this showdown. Play Kentucky on the moneyline. 

Kentucky is off to a 15-4 start to the season, and they would be unblemished at home if not for a no-show loss to NC Wilmington. I think that served as a wake-up call for this team, and they have since run the table at home with an average margin north of 15 PPG. Florida comes in at 14-6 on the season. They have been troubling on the road where they have lost their last two to Mississippi by 18 and Tennessee by 19, and had a loss at Wake Forest by 11. They will have to play better than that, as this is one of the toughst places to play in the country. Kentucky is an amazing 246-33 SU at home since 2009, and has covered five of their last seven as a home favorite. Tall task tonight for the Gators. Make the play on Kentucky.