Duquesne Dukes vs Fordham Rams Point Spread Picks

The Duquesne Dukes and the Fordham Rams have had very similar seasons to this point. Duquesne comes into this game at 9-8 and is out-scoring opponents by six points per game, while Fordham is 10-8 and out-scoring opponents by eight points per game. Generally, when your talent is similar to your opponent's, neither team stops the other very well. Duquesne is averaging 85ppg and loves to speed things up. Those numbers have led to a 12-3 OVER record so far this season. Things are changing for Fordham as they have recently turned up the pace of their games. The Fordham Rams did not allow any of their first 14 opponents to score more than 76 points in a game, yet three of their last four opponents have scored more than 76. I like the OVER in this one.

Duquesne is in fourth place in the Atlantic 10 at 4-2. They're on a 9-4 SU, 8-4 ATS run anchored by a defense that is fourth in the conference in points given up (66.2 points per game) and in 3-point shooting allowed (.353). Fordham is the only winless team (0-6) in the Atlantic 10. The Rams have the worst defense in points given up (77.8 per game) and field goal shooting allowed (.467). The offense is 12th in the 15-team league in shooting (.424) and 14th in assist-to-turnover margin. Fordham has lost six in a row, including a 120-118 loss to UMass as a favorite in their last home game. The wagering value is on the visitors to win the game. Play Duquesne on the moneyline. 

The Duquense Dukes opened the season with a healthy 9-3 record, but the easy schedule got more difficult in league play and they are now 1-5 in their last six games. They will hae a good chance to put one in the win colun this afternoon vs 9-10 Fordham. Fordham like to get up and down the court as they average 75ppg, but they allow 74ppg on the other end, and have been an over team, while Duquense is a lot more methodical and has been an under team. Something is going to have to give here as each likes a different pace, and I certainly see Duquense opening things up more vs. a team that pushes the ball, but allows easy hoops on the other end. Duquense has proven so as the Dukes are 65-34 to the over in their last 99 games vs. a team with a losing record. Make the play OVER the total.