Colorado State had won four in a row before running into a red-hot New Mexico team in the Mountain West Tournament while Virginia has lost five of nine, including some ugly performances when it couldn't even break the 50-point mark. The Cavaliers lost 73-48 to Duke, 54-44 to North Carolina and 75-41 to Virginia Tech. Virginia is just 3-6 ATS its past nine games and Colorado State also plays good defense allowing opponents a .432 field goal percentage and 68.4 points per game. The Rams are 4-0 ATS as a favorites of 0.5-6.5 points. Coach Tony Bennett's Virginia teams are the same every season as they play great defense while struggling offensively with usually lousy shooting on the Cavaliers' part. They shot just 36 percent and hit only nine of 28 3-point tries in a 73-65 loss to N.C. State in the ACC Tournament and they managed only 40 percent against Boston College the day before. Both games would have gone UNDER if not for overtimes. Virginia is #213 in the country averaging 65.5 points and #257 with a .391 field goal percentage. Colorado State shoots 44.7 percent overall and only 28.4 percent from 3-point range. The Rams have stayed UNDER seven of 10, including their 74-61 loss to New Mexico in the Mountain West tournament that went UNDER by 18.5 points. Go with Colorado State on the moneyline for this game, take the first half UNDER, and bet the full game to stay UNDER.
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