Colorado Buffaloes vs New Mexico Lobos Point Spread Picks

New Mexico likes to run, but Colorado plays terrific defense for coach Tad Boyle. Colorado has held six of eight opponents under 72 points and is on a 4-2 run UNDER the total. The Buffaloes are 9-3 UNDER the total after a victory, 12-5 UNDER against the Mountain West, and 8-3 UNDER on the road versus a team with a winning home record. New Mexico plays its best defense at home where they've averaged 12,000 fans in three home contests. The Lobos have gone five of seven games UNDER the total when they step up to face the Pac-12. Colorado is also 23-9 UNDER the total against teams that outscore their opponents by 4+ points per game, while New Mexico is 44-27 UNDER versus teams with a winning percentage of .800 or better. A year ago when they met, Colorado won 75-57, allowing 29.6% shooting, and this total is too high. Play the UNDER.

New Mexico had 10 players leave the program and new coach Paul Weir has a massive retooling job ahead of him. The Lobos have lost five of their last six games (2-4 ATS). The Lobos come off an 88-76 loss to UTEP, which went into the game with a 1-6 record and proceeded to shoot 53.7 percent against the defenseless Lobos, who are shooting only 39.8 percent on the season themselves. Colorado won its first six games before losing to Colorado State on Saturday, but the Buffaloes are holding opponents to just a .400 field goal percentage. New Mexico is 1-6 ATS its last seven road games and 6-14 ATS its last 20 non-conference games. Also, the Lobos have not had much success against Pac-12 squads with a 0-5-1 ATS their last six against that conference. Lay the points with Colorado.