Cincinnati Bearcats vs Louisville Cardinals Point Spread Picks

This will be a big game as the 4-0 and #6-ranked Louisville heads to Cincinnati, which is also 4-0 on the season. Louisville has averaged 103 PPG. This will be a much different game than any of their previous four opponents. Cincinnati is allowing just 61 PPG, is playing at home, and opponents are shooting just 36% against them. The Bearcats have done a great job of running opponents off the line, allowing just 27% from deep. Louisville is no slouch on defense, as its four opponents have shot 39% on average. This game isn't going to make it into the 160s. I'm playing the UNDER.

Both teams have been bad recently with Cincinnati losing three straight and Louisville still looking for its first win of the season. The Cardinals are shooting only 38.8 percent, but the Bearcats' defense is allowing 46.4 percent overall and 38.0 percent on 3-pointers. One of them has to win tonight in their third game of the Maui Invitational and Cincinnati is laying too many points after being humiliated 81-53 by Ohio State on Wednesday while shooting 38 percent overall and just 4-for-18 from 3-point range. Louisville is 4-1-0 UNDER and Cincinnati went UNDER by 13.5 points against Ohio State. The Cardinals are 5-2-1 ATS their past eight games after scoring fewer than 50 points their previous game and they are 7-1-1 UNDER their past nine on neutral courts. Cincinnati is 6-13 ATS its past 19 games and 2-9-1 ATS against teams that have a .400 or lower winning percentage. Take Louisville and the UNDER.

The Cincinnati Bearcats are somewhere around the bubble in terms of where their NCAA Tournament aspirations are. It would serve them well to make a strong showing here tonight. They are off a big win at home vs. Uconn on Saturday. They have also played well on the road as a dog in conference play, where they are 6-1 ATS when taking six or more in their last seven. Louisville has won five straight games, the biggest of which was their last. They had a huge win at Syracuse, where not to many leave with one in the win column. That could leave them flat here against Cincinnati. Louisville has not allowed more than 61 points in their last nine games that did not go into overtime, a style well-suited for the Bearcats who have held 12 of their last 14 opponents, in games that did not go to overtime to 62 points or less. This game will likely play in the 50s and that is a tough place to cover a double-digit spread. The Bearcats are 6-7 ATS in their last 23 on the road and 41-19 to the UNDER in their last 60 conference tilts. The Cards are playing defensive as well at 19-7 to the UNDER in their last 26 vs. a conference foe. Play on Cincinnati and the UNDER here.