Cal Poly SLO Mustangs vs UC San Diego Tritons Point Spread Picks

Mustangs vs. Tritons Spread Picks

Get Mustangs vs. Tritons point spread picks, expert spread analysis, computer model picks, betting consensus data, matchup breakdowns, key betting angles, and the latest odds insights for today's Mustangs vs. Tritons game.

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 63% of the public bets were on UC San Diego Tritons on the -4.5 ATS. And, 51% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that UC San Diego would win by a score of 83.6 to 78.1 with UC San Diego winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.

Pro Picks

This Pro Pick was released to clients on March 11, 2026 at 11:36AM ET.

CBB

Cal Poly SLO vs. UC San Diego

March 11, 2026

9:00 PM Eastern

Both meetings this season went UNDER and by substantial margins. Cal Poly won 67-65, going UNDER by 42.5 points on Jan. 1, and UC San Diego won the rematch 80-64 on Feb. 28, with the game staying UNDER by 30.5 points. The oddsmakers lowered the posted total for this game, which is the first round of the Big West tournament, but not low enough, as the Tritons have gone UNDER in their past three games while allowing 67.3 points per game. UCSD defeated UC Santa Barbara on Saturday, 64-63, and it went UNDER by 13.5 points. The Tritons made only two 3-pointers on 15 tries. Cal Poly shoots 33.7 percent from 3-point range compared to 33.2 percent for UC San Diego, which is 18-12 UNDER in 2025-26. Take the UNDER.

Final Score

1H

2H

F

Cal Poly SLO Mustangs

26

34

69

UC San Diego Tritons

26

46

72

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 62% of the public bets were on UC San Diego Tritons on the -7 ATS. And, 55% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that UC San Diego would win by a score of 86.0 to 77.7 with UC San Diego winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.

Pro Picks

This Pro Pick was released to clients on February 28, 2026 at 10:22AM ET.

CBB

Cal Poly SLO at UC San Diego

February 28, 2026

10:00 PM Eastern

Cal Poly SLO has won four in a row, three of them at home. But they have a losing record overall and are on an 11-38 straight-up run on the road. The defense is last in the Big West in points surrendered (85.2 per game), while the offense is ninth in shooting (.436) and last in turnover margin (-2.83). UC San Diego has 20 wins after an 84-72 victory over Cal State-Bakersfield at home, their fourth in a row. San Diego is third in the conference in points given up (70.3 per game) and in shooting allowed (.415), while the offense is fourth in field goal shooting (.459) and third from long range (34%). San Diego is on a 36-9 straight-up run on home court. Play UC San Diego on the moneyline. 

Final Score

1H

2H

F

Cal Poly SLO Mustangs

42

40

64

UC San Diego Tritons

42

38

80

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 57% of the public bets were on UC San Diego Tritons on the -8.5 ATS. And, 51% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that UC San Diego would win by a score of 88.5 to 80.1 with UC San Diego winning on the moneyline, Cal Poly SLO winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.

Final Score

1H

2H

F

UC San Diego Tritons

42

23

65

Cal Poly SLO Mustangs

39

28

67

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 52% of the public bets were on UC San Diego Tritons on the -13 ATS. And, 51% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that UC San Diego would win by a score of 85.0 to 71.6 with UC San Diego winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.

Final Score

1H

2H

F

UC San Diego Tritons

42

39

81

Cal Poly SLO Mustangs

34

33

67

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 61% of the public bets were on UC San Diego Tritons on the -15 ATS. And, 53% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that UC San Diego would win by a score of 85.5 to 70.5 with UC San Diego winning on the moneyline, Cal Poly SLO winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.

Pro Picks

These Pro Picks were released to clients on January 09, 2025 at 12:07PM ET.

CBB

Cal Poly SLO at UC San Diego

January 9, 2025

10:00 PM Eastern

Cal Poly does have a signature win as the Mustangs outscored Stanford 63-47 in the second half on Nov. 30 and beat the Cardinal 97-90 while shooting 54 percent. The Mustangs also beat Denver 95-94 in overtime and lost two overtime games against San Jose State and UC Irvine. Mike DeGeorge is in his first year as coach of Cal Poly and he brought in plenty of transfers, which were needed after a 4-28 finish in 2023-24. So far there has been improvement with six wins already and the Mustangs have shown they are capable of pulling off some outright wins let alone covering the big spreads. Both teams have similar field goal percentages at 46 percent and both average about 82 points per game. I'm grabbing Cal Poly ATS and taking a shot on the generous moneyline.

Final Score

1H

2H

F

Cal Poly SLO Mustangs

38

26

68

UC San Diego Tritons

38

57

95