Binghamton Bearcats vs New Hampshire Wildcats

New Hampshire is on a 3-1 SU/ATS run despite being an underdog in all four. They upset UMBC (79-78) as a +8.5 dog, whupped NJIT (80-69) as a small dog, and lost to second-place Vermont before beating UMass-Lowell (80-79) in the last game as a double-digit underdog. UNH beat Binghamton last month, 79-72, as a +6.5 dog. Binghamton is last in the America East in turnover margin (-4.56). They've lost seven of 11. New Hampshire has won six of the last ten meetings between these teams, including in the first round of the America East Playoffs last year, 77-64. Play New Hampshire. 

The New Hampshire Wildcats are an ugly 2-15 on the season as they host the 9-8 Binghamton Bearcats. Binghamton has shot the ball well on the season at 47%, and the Bearcats are knocking down 38% from three. The issue with this team is that they don't get to the line much and turn the ball over way too much. Binghamton is -5 in turnovers per game on the season. New Hampshire has played reasonably well at home, with a zero season-scoring margin. Some of that was against Div-II opponents, so I see some hidden value here going against them. This should be a competitive game, but New Hampshire is at 2-15 in the season; they can't close out games. Make the play on Binghamton on the moneyline.

Binghamton and New Hampshire have rode similar paths to the regular season and each will try to keep their season alive in the American East quarter-finals. They will both enter the contest at 15-14 on the season. Binghamton has relied on their defense and 60% of their final 15 games have played UNDER the total, while New Hampshire has played 71.4% of their final 14 games to the UNDER as well. These teams in their last nine meetings in lined games have only played two that have made it OVER the total, and with their season on the line I expect that defense will play a role in their success. Binghamton has played to an 11-2 mark to the under vs. a team that averages 21 or more 3's a game, while New Hampshire is 30-15 to the UNDER in their last 45 games vs. a winning team from game 15 on. Make the play on the UNDER.

Binghamton is winless (0-4) in conference play and a poor road team (2-7). They're last in the conference from the free throw line (.654%). Binghamton is 1-7 ATS versus winning teams, 2-8 ATS as a dog, plus 40-60 ATS versus teams that attempt 21+ treys per game. New Hampshire has a winning conference mark, fifth in the nine-team conference in scoring and fourth in points given up and field goal shooting allowed. They're also third from the charity stripe (.728%), so back home court. Play New Hampshire.