Baylor is 9-4 all-time in the opening round of the NCAA Tournament, including six straight wins. The Bears are built for another good run with balance, ranked sixth in the 16-team Big 12 in scoring and seventh in points allowed. They're also sixth in free-throw shooting and turnover margin (+1.73). They're one of just four teams to win at least one NCAA Tournament game in each of the last five seasons, along with Gonzaga, Houston, and Kansas. Mississippi State had a losing SEC mark with an offense that is 12th in the 16-team conference in shooting, 14th from long range (31.4%), and 15th from the charity stripe (70%). The defense is 12th in points surrendered (74.2 per game) and second-to-last at defending the 3-pointer (36.1%). Play Baylor on the moneyline.
Previous Matchups & Picks
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 53% of the public bets were on Baylor Bears on the +1 ATS. And, 55% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Mississippi State would win by a score of 74.4 to 73.9, Baylor winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
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Baylor vs. Mississippi State
12:15 PM Eastern
Final Score
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Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 55% of the public bets were on Baylor Bears on the -5.5 ATS. 70% of the public money was on Baylor Bears to win on the moneyline. And, 59% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Baylor would win by a score of 73.1 to 67.5 with Baylor winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
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Mississippi State at Baylor
12:00 PM Eastern
A pair of strong defensive teams clash in this NIT game. Mississippi State is third in the SEC in points surrendered and allowed .413 shooting from the field. The offense is weak from the free throw line (68%), and the Bulldogs will be without Nick Weatherspoon (11.1 points per game) for a second consecutive game because of a hip injury. Baylor is home and finished fifth in the Big 12 in scoring defense and second in field goal shooting allowed (.411%). Baylor is 7-2 UNDER the total after a victory, plus 9-4 UNDER after a spread cover. Play the UNDER in this one.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 51% of the public bets were on Mississippi State Bulldogs on the +7 ATS. 61% of the public money was on Baylor Bears to win on the moneyline. And, 59% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Baylor would win by a score of 57.0 to 50.7 with Baylor winning on the moneyline, Mississippi State winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
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