Albany Great Danes vs Vermont Catamounts Point Spread Picks

Vermont can clinch the No. 2 seed in the American East Conference Tournament with a win here. The Catamounts should do just that. Vermont is 11-4 in league and 19-11 overall compared to Albany's 7-8 conference mark and 11-19 overall record. The Catamounts rank 97th in field goal percentage and 145th in defensive efficiency. Albany is 177th in shooting from the floor and 287th in defensive efficiency. Vermont has made the most shots from 3-point range in the American East. Albany ranks 282nd nationally in opponent 3-point field goal percentage. No chance the Catamounts under-rate Albany either. Not after the Great Danes upset them, 75-68, as 5.5-point home underdogs on Jan. 19. Vermont didn't have Noah Barnett and TJ Long, two of its six best players, in that game. Vermont has gone 8-3 since that upset. Albany is 4-7 in its last 11 games. Take Vermont.

Vermont is unbeaten in the America East. Three players are scoring in double figures on an offense that averages 76.1 points and 47.5% shooting. They're No. 1 in the conference in shooting, plus second in 3-point shooting (.346) and from the line. Vermont is 10-6 OVER the total this season, part of a 20-11 run OVER. Albany is third in the conference in shooting, but its defense is seventh in points allowed (75.1 per game). Albany is on a 6-4 run OVER, and the last meeting between these teams was a 79-71 game that sailed far OVER 133.5. Play Vermont/Albany OVER the total. 

Albany is in the America East tournament despite being the second-worst team in the conference at 5-11. The defense is eighth in the nine-team conference in points given up (78.9 per game) and last in field goal shooting allowed (.467). Albany is on a 7-3 run UNDER the total. They're also 16-29 ATS as an underdog, including 5-13 ATS as a double-digit dog. No. 1 seeded Vermont has home court and is on a 26-14 ATS run at home. They're just sixth in scoring, but a powerhouse defensive squad, No. 1 in points given up (62.9 points per game) and second in shooting allowed (.406). They're also No. 1 in assist-to-turnover ratio (+1.50). Vermont is on a 21-8 run UNDER the total, including 14-2 UNDER in conference action. Vermont has won six straight America East Playoff games with no opponent scoring more than 59 points. Play Vermont + UNDER the total.