Denver at Miami

Denver has lost two games by a total of three points and almost pulled out a win against Washington last week before losing 35-33 on a failed 2-point converion attempt. Russell Wilson is showing signs of improvement after last year's debacle and he threw for 308 yards and three touchdowns against the Commanders. The Broncos will try to get over the hump as they travel to face the Dolphins, who held off New England to win 24-17 with Tua Tagovailoa throwing for 249 yards and a TD and Raheem Mostert ran for 121 yards and two TDs. Obviously, the Broncos will have a tough challenge, but they have covered four of five as underdogs dating to last season and Sean Payton has not lost three in a row many times in his coaching career. Miami is 7-0 UNDER as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0 points and the Dolphins have gone UNDER five straight as favorites. Miami is 11-4 its past 15 September games and Denver is 9-1 UNDER its past 10 in the first four games of the season and the Broncos are 13-5 UNDER on the road overall. Look for Wilson to finally play effectively for an entire game after completing 85 percent of his passes in the first half this season and 56 percent in the second half. Take the points with the Broncos as a Max Play and the UNDER.