Los Angeles at Tampa Bay

Let's face it. Tom Brady may officially be over the hill. The Bucs are averaging just 18.3 points per game (14.3 per game over their last three). The Los Angeles defense is fifth in the NFL in total yards allowed and 11th at defending the pass. It's the offense that has been the problem during this 1-3 SU/ATS slide averaging 14.25 points. The offensive line has been hit by injuries and subpar play, in addition to losing All-Pro tackle Andrew Whitworth to retirement and guard Austin Corbett to free agency in the offseason. The Rams are the second-worst in rushing and yards per rush, while star WR Cooper Kupp (ankle) is not 100%. The Rams are 20-9 UNDER the total against losing teams, plus 19-7-1 UNDER versus teams with a losing home record. Tampa Bay has even less offensive balance, ranked last in rushing yards (61.9 yards per game) and yards per carry (3.0). The Bucs have a banged-up offensive line along with ailing wide receivers, including top target Mike Evans (ankle). Sean McVay is 25-12 ATS on the road vs. conference foes in LA. He's also 20-10 ATS on the road following a home loss. Tampa Bay is 50-30 UNDER the total after having lost five or six of their last seven. And an NFL team like the Bucs off of a home defeat is 39-10 UNDER the total when facing a team off of a home loss by 10 points or more. Take the Rams plus the points and also take the UNDER.