I don't think that many saw this 0-3 start coming with Deshaun Watson back at QB for the Texans. Houston has out-gained each of their last two opponents by a combined 200+ yards, and gave topped the 400-yard mark in each of those. The points have not been there, but they will be. Houston is also one of just nine NFL teams that have started the season at 0-3, and have a scoring margin of -5 points per game or fewer, so I can see some hidden value in this one. Indianapolis has Andrew Luck back, but there are a mountain of injuries on this team already with 20 different players on the current injury list for this week, and that will take its toll. I think Houston has been unlucky, and should get their first win vs. Indy. Make the play on Houston.
This pick was released to clients on September 29, 2023 at 11:34AM ET.
Houston at Indianapolis
September 30, 2018
1 unit on Houston +1 (-105) (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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