Oklahoma City overcame a 14-point second-half deficit to even the series at two games apiece with a 100-96 victory on Monday night. The Dallas shooters went cold after the intermission and the Mavericks shot just 41 percent overall and 34 percent from 3-point range and they failed to take advantage of 13 blocked shots. Now the Thunder head home for Game 5 with plenty of momentum and confidence on their side as they somehow pulled out a win while shooting only 38 percent and hitting seven of 27 3-point tries. They figure to do a lot better on their home court and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander expects to get more help from his teammates after scoring 34 points in Game 4. Oklahoma City is 8-2 ATS following a win, 8-2 ATS as a favorite and 7-2 ATS its past nine home games. Take the Thunder as a Max Play.
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Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who is the public on? 59% of the public bets are on Dallas Mavericks on the -4 ATS. And, 60% of the bets are on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game is that Dallas will win by a score of 107.4 to 105.0 with Dallas winning on the moneyline, Oklahoma City winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
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Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 58% of the public bets were on Oklahoma City Thunder on the -4.5 ATS. And, 63% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Oklahoma City would win by a score of 109.4 to 104.9 with Oklahoma City winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
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NBA
Dallas at Oklahoma City
9:35 PM Eastern
LOSS
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 55% of the public bets were on Dallas Mavericks on the -1.5 ATS. And, 64% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Dallas would win by a score of 108.9 to 107.8 with Dallas winning on the moneyline, Oklahoma City winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 55% of the public bets were on Dallas Mavericks on the -1.5 ATS. And, 61% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Dallas would win by a score of 110.1 to 108.6 with Dallas winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
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NBA
Oklahoma City at Dallas
3:40 PM Eastern
WIN
WIN
Oklahoma City is No. 1 in points allowed (95.3 per game) in the playoffs and in field goal shooting allowed (40.8%). During the regular season, they were 11th in points given up third in shooting allowed. OKC is 26-13 UNDER the total on the road revenging a loss to an opponent. They used a strong home-court advantage (33-8) to get the No. 1 seed in the West but were 24-17 straight up away from home. The Mavericks are on an 18-8 run UNDER the total. Dallas is six in points surrendered (103.6 per game) in the postseason and fourth in shooting allowed (44.1%) out of 16 teams. Dallas is 30-20 UNDER the total versus winning teams and 40-26 UNDER against teams that shoot 46%+ from the field. The Mavericks won two of three at home in the last series, including a Game 3 victory over the Clippers, 101-90, that sailed UNDER by 22 points. The Mavs are 32-21 UNDER after a victory, plus 38-23 UNDER at home after a spread cover. The wagering value is on the home team to win a defensive battle. Play Dallas on the moneyline and Oklahoma City/Dallas UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 59% of the public bets were on Oklahoma City Thunder on the -5 ATS. And, 65% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Oklahoma City would win by a score of 112.5 to 106.9 with Oklahoma City winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
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NBA
Boston (NBA-568) MONEYLINE + Oklahoma City (NBA-566) MONEYLINE
9:30 PM Eastern
LOSS
Combine the Celtics (-900) and the Thunder (-190) into a 2-team parlay at -144 odds.
Final Score
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