New York has won four of six, including cashing as underdogs of +120 and +200. The Mets are eighth in the majors in pitching ERA (3.42) while the offense has scored 22 runs in four games. Jose Quintana (2.61 ERA) and the Mets are 96-64 on the road off a one-run loss to a divisional opponent. Atlanta has split the first two of this series, losing the opener, 8-7, as a -220 favorite. The pitching staff has allowed 28 runs in five games to drop to 17th in team ERA (4.30) and 18th in WHIP. Allan Winans makes his 2024 debut, stepping in for injured ace Spencer Strider. Winans had a 2023 season with a 5.29 ERA when the Braves went 2-4 in his six starts. Play New York.
Previous Matchups & Picks
May 12, 2024 7:10pm ET
@
Atlanta Braves
#961
Elder
New York Mets
#962
Severino
Lines & Odds
-1.5 (+152)
Runline
+1.5 (-180)
-106
Moneyline
-110
OVER 8 (-111)
Total
UNDER 8 (-110)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 58% of the public money was on Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline. And, 57% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Atlanta would win by a score of 4.7 to 4.0 with Atlanta winning on the moneyline, New York winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
Atlanta Braves
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
New York Mets 
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
4
MLB Premium Pick Results
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All Picks last 1.8 years
Wins
Losses
Units
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969
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All Picks this season last 2.3 months
Wins
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244
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147
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58
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293
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7
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Wins
Losses
Units
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0
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May 11, 2024 4:10pm ET
@
Atlanta Braves
#903
Fried
New York Mets
#904
Scott
Lines & Odds
-1.5 (+113)
Runline
+1.5 (-133)
-157
Moneyline
+135
OVER 7 (-112)
Total
UNDER 7 (-109)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 74% of the public money was on Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline. And, 59% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Atlanta would win by a score of 4.4 to 3.5 with Atlanta winning on the moneyline, New York winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
Atlanta Braves
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
4
New York Mets
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
May 10, 2024 8:05pm ET
@
Atlanta Braves
#953
Morton
New York Mets
#954
Quintana
Lines & Odds
-1.5 (+115)
Runline
+1.5 (-136)
-148
Moneyline
+128
OVER 7.5 (-110)
Total
UNDER 7.5 (-111)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 76% of the public money was on Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline. And, 69% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Atlanta would win by a score of 4.3 to 3.8 with Atlanta winning on the moneyline, New York winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
Atlanta Braves
0
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
New York Mets
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
April 11, 2024 1:00pm ET
@
New York Mets
#901
Quintana
Atlanta Braves
#902
Winans
Lines & Odds
+1.5 (-138)
Runline
-1.5 (+115)
+144
Moneyline
-169
OVER 9.5 (-125)
Total
UNDER 9.5 (+105)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 68% of the public money was on Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline. And, 52% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Atlanta would win by a score of 5.3 to 4.8 with Atlanta winning on the moneyline, New York winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Premium Picks
This pick was released to clients on April 11, 2024 at 11:36AM ET.
MLB
New York at Atlanta
April 11, 2024
1:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on New York +150 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 2.5)
Result:
WIN
WIN
Final Score
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
New York Mets
1
2
4
0
0
0
3
2
4
16
Atlanta Braves
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
1
0
4
April 10, 2024 7:20pm ET
@
New York Mets
#961
Quintana
Atlanta Braves
#962
Winans
Lines & Odds
+1.5 (-142)
Runline
-1.5 (+119)
+140
Moneyline
-163
OVER 9.5 (-112)
Total
UNDER 9.5 (-110)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 66% of the public money was on Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline. And, 51% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Atlanta would win by a score of 5.5 to 4.7 with Atlanta winning on the moneyline, New York winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Premium Picks
This pick was released to clients on April 10, 2024 at 11:54AM ET.
MLB
New York at Atlanta
April 10, 2024
7:20 PM Eastern
1 unit on New York +148 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 2.48)
Result:
PUSH
PUSH
2 units on Game Total UNDER 9.5 -102 (risk 2 to return 3.96)
Result:
PUSH
PUSH
New York made a valiant comeback after falling behind 6-0, but came up just short in a 6-5 loss to the Braves on Tuesday. The Mets still have won four of six following a terrible start and they have averaged 5.5 runs their past four games after struggling to score at all the first week of the season. Jose Quintana goes for the Mets and they come off a 3-2 win over Cincinnati his last start on Friday. Quintana has allowed three runs on 11 hits in 10 1/3 innings. Allan Winans will start for Atlanta and he has a 5.56 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in two career starts against the Mets. Winans is making his first appearance in 2024 after finishing with a 5.29 ERA in six games last year. New York is 6-1 UNDER in Quintana's past seven starts as an underdog and 5-1 UNDER his past six starts against a team that allowed at least five runs its previous game. Take the Mets to win, and take this game UNDER as a Max Play.
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